Cavigny: Ensemble pour Cavigny won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 133 voted, 109 valid votes

1. Ensemble pour CavignyNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 109 · 11 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Cavigny from how it voted in 2022.

1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 36.1% · France 34.2%
2. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 22.7% · France 14.3%
3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 17.4% · France 13.4%
4. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 8.1% · France 16.8%
5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 7.1% · France 7.6%
6. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 2.2% · France 2.0%
7. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.0% · France 2.1%
8. Éric ZemmourReconquête 1.9% · France 3.8%
9. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 1.4% · France 0.6%
10. Marine TondelierGreens 1.1% · France 2.9%

In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 39.9% · National Rally 24.7% · France Unbowed 11.4% · Republicans 4.4% · Others 3.8%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Manche

• Eroudeville186 voters · No label (small commune)
• Octeville-l'Avenel187 voters · No label (small commune)
• Le Plessis-Lastelle187 voters · No label (small commune)
• Crasville183 voters · No label (small commune)
• Le Mesnil-Villeman188 voters · No label (small commune)
• Brainville182 voters · No label (small commune)
• Carneville181 voters · No label (small commune)
• Flottemanville181 voters · No label (small commune)

Every commune in Manche → · All of France →