France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
Closest

Blain: Thomas Jouan's list won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Blain (Loire-Atlantique, INSEE 44015) has 7,682 registered voters. Its council has 33 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round two, 22 March · 4,599 voted, 4,490 valid votes

  1. Blain Initiatives CitoyennesLed by Thomas Jouan · Miscellaneous left 46.4% · 2,085 · 25 seats
  2. BLAIN NOUVELLE ENERGIELed by Jérémy Malary · Miscellaneous centre 43.3% · 1,944 · 7 seats
  3. BLAIN ECOUTER ET AGIRLed by Philippe Caillon · Miscellaneous centre 10.3% · 461 · 1 seat

Round one, 15 March · 4,502 voted, 4,298 valid votes

  1. Blain Initiatives CitoyennesMiscellaneous left 40.6% · 1,745
  2. BLAIN NOUVELLE ENERGIEMiscellaneous centre 39.1% · 1,682
  3. BLAIN ECOUTER ET AGIRMiscellaneous centre 20.3% · 871

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Blain from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 35.6% · France 34.2%
  2. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 16.2% · France 16.8%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 15.4% · France 13.4%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 15.2% · France 14.3%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 5.8% · France 7.6%
  6. Marine TondelierGreens 4.8% · France 2.9%
  7. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 2.1% · France 2.0%
  8. Éric ZemmourReconquête 2.0% · France 3.8%
  9. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.9% · France 2.1%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.9% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 29.1% · National Rally 23.5% · France Unbowed 22.2% · Greens 7.1% · Reconquête 3.9%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Loire-Atlantique

Every commune in Loire-Atlantique → · All of France →