Chavigny-Bailleul: ASMONTI Gérard won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 220 voted, 188 valid votes

1. ASMONTI GérardNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 188 · 15 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Chavigny-Bailleul from how it voted in 2022.

1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 54.3% · France 34.2%
2. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 12.1% · France 14.3%
3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 8.8% · France 13.4%
4. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 8.1% · France 7.6%
5. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 8.1% · France 16.8%
6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 2.5% · France 3.8%
7. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.1% · France 2.1%
8. Marine TondelierGreens 1.4% · France 2.9%
9. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 1.3% · France 0.6%
10. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.2% · France 2.0%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 41.1% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 25.4% · France Unbowed 11.8% · Republicans 5.4% · Reconquête 5.1%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Eure

• La Forêt-du-Parc455 voters · No label (small commune)
• Beaumontel463 voters · No label (small commune)
• Canappeville464 voters · No label (small commune)
• Epégard452 voters · No label (small commune)
• Bosrobert466 voters · No label (small commune)
• Heudicourt466 voters · No label (small commune)
• Saint-Denis-le-Ferment467 voters · No label (small commune)
• Drucourt470 voters · No label (small commune)

Every commune in Eure → · All of France →