France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
Closest

Le Bas Ségala: Liste d'union pour le développement et la défense des intérêts communaux won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Le Bas Ségala (Aveyron, INSEE 12021) has 1,401 registered voters. Its council has 23 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 892 voted, 738 valid votes

  1. Liste d'union pour le développement et la défense des intérêts communauxNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 738 · 23 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Le Bas Ségala from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 28.7% · France 34.2%
  2. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 18.1% · France 13.4%
  3. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 18.1% · France 16.8%
  4. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 12.3% · France 7.6%
  5. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 10.7% · France 14.3%
  6. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 4.1% · France 2.1%
  7. Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.5% · France 3.8%
  8. Marine TondelierGreens 2.0% · France 2.9%
  9. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.7% · France 2.0%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.7% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: France Unbowed 23.0% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 19.6% · National Rally 16.6% · Others 14.3% · Republicans 7.6%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Aveyron

Every commune in Aveyron → · All of France →