España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Aguilafuente: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Aguilafuente (Segovia, 564 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 40.1% of the vote (2023: 45.5%) Majority 13%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 36.6% of the vote (2023: 38.6%) Majority 6%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 22.7% of the vote (2023: 15.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 81% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 45.5% → 40.1% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. PPPP 38.6% → 36.6% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 15.3% → 22.7% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 347 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Aguilafuente in size, in Segovia

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