España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

El Cerro: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

El Cerro (Salamanca, 380 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 38.8% of the vote (2023: 44.3%) Majority 9%
PP−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 36.1% of the vote (2023: 38.3%) Majority 3%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 24.5% of the vote (2023: 16.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 88% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 44.3% → 38.8% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. PPPP 38.3% → 36.1% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 16.8% → 24.5% 1 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 298 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Cerro in size, in Salamanca

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