España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Cardeña: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Cardeña (Córdoba, 1,455 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 43.6% of the vote (2023: 40.2%) Majority 27%
CON ANDALUCÍA+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 37.1% of the vote (2023: 39.2%) Majority 3%
PSOE-A−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.4% of the vote (2023: 19.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 70% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 40.2% → 43.6% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 39.2% → 37.1% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. PSOE-APSOE 19.7% → 18.4% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,028 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cardeña in size, in Córdoba

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