España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Callús: ERC-AM would keep its majority

Callús (Barcelona, 2,122 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC-AM+1
8 councillors (2023: 7) · 65.8% of the vote (2023: 58.6%) Majority over 99%
CM−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 27.8% of the vote (2023: 35.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Callús

Callús is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 2,122 inhabitants, the 192nd largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 ERC-AM came first with 58.6% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; CM was second with 4. 49% of the 1,562 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps ERC-AM on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC-AMERC 58.6% → 65.8% 7 → 8 councillors
  2. CMJunts 35.0% → 27.8% 4 → 3 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 766 valid votes including 49 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Callús in size, in Barcelona

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