España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Lucainena de las Torres: PP would keep its majority

Lucainena de las Torres (Almería, 595 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 57.0% of the vote (2023: 58.2%) Majority 98%
UCIN±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 25.6% of the vote (2023: 24.9%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.3% of the vote (2023: 15.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 2% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 58.2% → 57.0% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. UCINLocal lists 24.9% → 25.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 15.3% → 12.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 0.9% → 4.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 450 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Lucainena de las Torres in size, in Almería

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