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A Capela: no list would have a majority, AIAC largest

A Capela (A Coruña, 1,225 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

AIAC±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 44.8% of the vote (2023: 41.7%) Majority 29%
PSDEG-PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 40.7% of the vote (2023: 43.3%) Majority 10%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.2% of the vote (2023: 13.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 61% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About A Capela

A Capela is a municipality in the province of A Coruña with 1,225 inhabitants, the 89th largest of its 93 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSDEG-PSOE came first with 43.3% of the vote and 4 seats; AIAC was second with 4. 76.4% of the 1,052 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSDEG-PSOE would be largest on 4 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. AIACLocal lists 41.7% → 44.8% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 43.3% → 40.7% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 13.7% → 13.2% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 804 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near A Capela in size, in A Coruña

Every municipality in A Coruña → · All of Spain →